Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Tammeka. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka?
Flora Tallinn starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora Tallinn have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tammeka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rumori Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Zealot Sporting(home) | 19-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Flora Tallinn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tammeka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Tammeka 3-1 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 2-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Tammeka 1-2 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| May 30, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 3-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Tammeka 1-2 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 2-1 Tammeka | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flora Tallinn score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tammeka score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tammeka | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora Tallinn sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (42 points from 22 matches) and Tammeka sit 5th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka?
- The Footlab model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Tammeka.
- Where and when is Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka played?
- Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at A. Le Coq Arena, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.