Laagri vs Vaprus: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Laagri kunstmuru, Tallinn
The Footlab AI model makes Laagri the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Vaprus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Laagri wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laagri vs Vaprus?
On Elo ratings, Laagri has 1,566 points and Vaprus 1,547.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Laagri vs Vaprus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Laagri
4-2-3-1- 19A. Binate
- 7R. Reimaa
- 23D. Rudenko
- 17M. Kelement
- 66K. Rõõmussaar
- 21S. Soo
- 22M. Kesa
- 6H. Palutaja
- 24K. Laur
- 3A. Kaevats
- 1J. Vainula
Vaprus
3-4-1-2- 8T. Pajo
- 10S. Viidas
- 20H. Välja
- 90J. Sild
- 24Mathias Villota
- 14R. Orm
- 42M. Limberg
- 28M. Lipp
- 15K. Aloe
- 43M. Seppik
- 16O. Nõmm
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laagri have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Vaprus have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 10-0 | Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 0-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paide(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Paide(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Laagri win, 1 draw, 4 Vaprus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vaprus 3-2 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| May 16, 2026 | Laagri 1-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Vaprus 0-2 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Laagri 1-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Vaprus 2-2 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Laagri 0-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Laagri score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vaprus score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laagri | 2.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Vaprus | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laagri sit 6th in Meistriliiga (41 points from 31 matches) and Vaprus sit 7th (36 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 47 | 41 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
A question about Laagri vs Vaprus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laagri vs Vaprus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Laagri the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Vaprus.
- Where and when is Laagri vs Vaprus played?
- Laagri vs Vaprus is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Laagri kunstmuru, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.