Fløya vs Bossekop: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fløyabanen, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Fløya the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Bossekop. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fløya vs Bossekop?
Fløya starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fløya have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Bossekop have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 5-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjervøy(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alta(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alta(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Tromsø II(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Finnsnes(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Harstad(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Skjetten(away) | 0-6 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Fløya win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bossekop win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bossekop 2-5 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Bossekop 0-1 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| May 1, 2022 | Fløya 4-1 Bossekop | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fløya score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bossekop score 1.7 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fløya | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Bossekop | 1.7 | 3.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fløya sit 3rd in 3. Division - Girone 5 (29 points from 16 matches) and Bossekop sit 14th (12 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fløya | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | Bossekop | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 51 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fløya vs Bossekop?
- The Footlab model makes Fløya the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Bossekop.
- Where and when is Fløya vs Bossekop played?
- Fløya vs Bossekop is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fløyabanen, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.