Ulfstind vs Alta: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)TUIL Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Alta the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Ulfstind. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulfstind vs Alta?
Alta starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulfstind have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Alta have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 0-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsø II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(home) | 6-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tromsø II(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fløya(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skjervøy(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ulfstind win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alta 4-0 Ulfstind | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Ulfstind 4-3 Alta | NM Cupen |
How many goals should we expect?
Ulfstind score 1.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alta score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulfstind | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Alta | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulfstind sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (14 points from 16 matches) and Alta sit 5th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alta | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 26 |
| 13 | Ulfstind | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 52 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulfstind vs Alta?
- The Footlab model makes Alta the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Ulfstind.
- Where and when is Ulfstind vs Alta played?
- Ulfstind vs Alta is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at TUIL Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.