Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)LSK-hallen, Lillestrøm
The Footlab model makes Lillestrøm II the favourite at 71%, against 14% for a draw and 15% for Strømsgodset II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Lillestrøm II (1,576) and Strømsgodset II (1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrøm II have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Strømsgodset II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harstad(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Skjetten(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(home) | 4-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Tromsø II(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Skedsmo(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tromsø II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Finnsnes(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lillestrøm II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Strømsgodset II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Strømsgodset II 1-3 Lillestrøm II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Strømsgodset II 6-0 Lillestrøm II | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Lillestrøm II 0-2 Strømsgodset II | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Strømsgodset II 3-1 Lillestrøm II | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Lillestrøm II 1-2 Strømsgodset II | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Lillestrøm II 4-2 Strømsgodset II | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Strømsgodset II vs Lillestrøm II on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrøm II score 3.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Strømsgodset II score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm II | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 15/15 | 15/15 |
| Strømsgodset II | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrøm II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (21 points from 16 matches) and Strømsgodset II sit 9th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lillestrøm II | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 21 |
| 9 | Strømsgodset II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II?
- The Footlab model makes Lillestrøm II the favourite at 71%, against 14% for a draw and 15% for Strømsgodset II.
- Where and when is Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II played?
- Lillestrøm II vs Strømsgodset II is played on October 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at LSK-hallen, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.