Bahia vs Palmeiras: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 17, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras won 0-1 on October 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′BetinhoPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Palmeiras have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Internacional(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2012 | Coritiba(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Figueirense(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2012 | Palmeiras 0-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Bahia 0-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2011 | Palmeiras 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Palmeiras | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (51 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy