Fluminense vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 8, 2020 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on November 8, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 28′Pepê AquinoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Santos(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Ceara(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2020 | Juventude(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 2, 2020 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2020 | Juventude(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2020 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fluminense win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2020 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 5, 2019 | Gremio 4-5 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Fluminense 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 31, 2018 | Gremio 0-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy