Forge vs Cavalry FC: result 2-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueGrand FinalKick-off on October 28, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton
Full time
What was the result of Forge vs Cavalry FC?
Forge won 2-1 on October 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 101′A. MusseCavalry FC
- 105′B. BadibangaForge
- 111′T. BorgesForge
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cavalry FC have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Cavalry FC(away) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | HFX Wanderers FC(away) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Pacific FC(home) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Valour(away) | 3-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Pacific FC(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Forge(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Pacific FC(home) | 3-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Valour(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | York United(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forge win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cavalry FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Cavalry FC 1-2 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Forge 0-0 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Cavalry FC 3-0 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Cavalry FC 1-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Forge 2-2 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Forge 2-1 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Forge score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cavalry FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cavalry FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forge sit 1st in Canadian Premier League (41 points from 18 matches) and Cavalry FC sit 2nd (40 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy