Forge vs Cavalry FC: result 0-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 16, 2021 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton
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What was the result of Forge vs Cavalry FC?
Cavalry FC won 0-1 on November 16, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 3′A. NovakCavalry FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cavalry FC have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | FC Edmonton(away) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2021 | York United(away) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | York United(away) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Santos DE Guapiles(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF League |
| Oct 30, 2021 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 4-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2021 | Pacific FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Valour(home) | 2-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Pacific FC(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2021 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 0-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2021 | York United(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forge win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cavalry FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2021 | Forge 1-2 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2021 | Cavalry FC 0-2 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Cavalry FC 0-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Forge 2-2 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2019 | Cavalry FC 2-1 Forge | Canadian Championship |
| Jun 4, 2019 | Forge 1-1 Cavalry FC | Canadian Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Forge score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cavalry FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cavalry FC | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forge sit 1st in Canadian Premier League (41 points from 18 matches) and Cavalry FC sit 2nd (40 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy