Forge vs Cavalry FC: result 2-1 and analysis
Canadian Premier LeagueChampionship - Semi-finalsKick-off on October 23, 2022 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton
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What was the result of Forge vs Cavalry FC?
Forge won 2-1 on October 23, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 69′D. ChoinièreForge
- 75′W. PaciusForge (pen.)
- 78′M. BevanCavalry FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cavalry FC have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Cavalry FC(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | HFX Wanderers FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Pacific FC(home) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | York United(home) | 2-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2022 | FC Edmonton(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Forge(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Pacific FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Valour(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 1-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2022 | FC Edmonton(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Forge win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cavalry FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Cavalry FC 1-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Forge 2-1 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Cavalry FC 2-1 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2022 | Cavalry FC 1-2 Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Forge 2-2 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Forge 0-1 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Forge score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cavalry FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Cavalry FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Forge sit 1st in Canadian Premier League (41 points from 18 matches) and Cavalry FC sit 2nd (40 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy