Fortis vs Goa: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
The Footlab AI model makes Goa the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Fortis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Goa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortis vs Goa?
On Elo ratings, Fortis has 1,499 points and Goa 1,560.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortis vs Goa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Goa
4-4-2- 28F. Feuillassier
- 9Chiki
- 21U. Singh
- 5Álex Vallejo
- 44Muhammed Nemil Valiyattil
- 22P. Vishwas
- 3S. Jhingan
- 15Álex Zalaya
- 48Konsam Singh
- 14A. Sangwan
- 45B. Jackson
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortis have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Goa have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dempo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 18, 2026 | Kerala Blasters(away) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 9, 2026 | ATK Mohun Bagan(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortis score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Goa score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortis | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Goa | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fortis vs Goa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortis vs Goa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Goa the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Fortis.
- Where and when is Fortis vs Goa played?
- Fortis vs Goa is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.