Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen played?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen is played on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Paul-Janes-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Paul-Janes-Stadion, Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf II

SW Essen

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,733).

Fortuna Düsseldorf II win59 %

Draw20 %

SW Essen win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 31, 2026	TSV Steinbach(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	Homberg(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	SC St. Tönis(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bochum II(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - West

SW Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSVg Velbert(home)	1-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg(away)	3-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Kleve(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SW Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 13, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II 4-2 SW Essen	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen on Jan 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1.8	1.4	5	8/15	10/15
SW Essen	1.5	2.7	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
16	SW Essen	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf II the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for SW Essen.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen played?: Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs SW Essen is played on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Paul-Janes-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.