SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Meerbusch. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch?
SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Meerbusch have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 29, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC St. Tönis win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Meerbusch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | SC St. Tönis 4-2 Meerbusch | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Meerbusch 1-0 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Meerbusch 1-2 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 6, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 2-3 Meerbusch | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 1, 2024 | Meerbusch 5-4 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 5, 2023 | SC St. Tönis 4-3 Meerbusch | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Meerbusch score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Meerbusch | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC St. Tönis sit 9th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and Meerbusch sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Meerbusch | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch?
- The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Meerbusch.
- Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch played?
- SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 11, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSW Essen
- Dec 11, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsMonheim
- Dec 11, 2026SSVg VelbertvsGermania Ratingen
- Dec 11, 2026Holzheimer SGvsSonsbeck
- Dec 13, 2026SF BaumbergvsScherpenberg
- Dec 13, 2026SchonnebeckvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Dec 13, 2026BW DingdenvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Dec 13, 2026BüderichvsSolingen-Wald