Match

SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert

SSVg VelbertGermania Ratingen

The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate SSVg Velbert (1,810) and Germania Ratingen (1,874).

SSVg Velbert win35 %
Draw23 %
Germania Ratingen win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Germania Ratingen have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SW Essen(away)4-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West
Germania Ratingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Büderich(home)3-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Schonnebeck(away)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 26, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Monheim(away)0-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026Union Frintrop(home)3-1Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Germania Ratingen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2025Germania Ratingen 2-1 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 14, 2024SSVg Velbert 2-1 Germania RatingenOberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 2, 2023SSVg Velbert 4-2 Germania RatingenOberliga - Niederrhein
Dec 11, 2022Germania Ratingen 1-0 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
May 15, 2022Germania Ratingen 1-2 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 12, 2021SSVg Velbert 5-1 Germania RatingenOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: Germania Ratingen vs SSVg Velbert on Mar 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Germania Ratingen score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SSVg Velbert1.32.1210/1510/15
Germania Ratingen2.31.5311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and Germania Ratingen sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SSVg Velbert2200516
12Germania Ratingen2020552

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen?
The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for SSVg Velbert.
Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen played?
SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen is played on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SSVg Velbert and Germania Ratingen

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