SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 16Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert
The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate SSVg Velbert (1,810) and Germania Ratingen (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Germania Ratingen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Büderich(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schonnebeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Union Frintrop(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Germania Ratingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | Germania Ratingen 2-1 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 14, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 2-1 Germania Ratingen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 2, 2023 | SSVg Velbert 4-2 Germania Ratingen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Germania Ratingen 1-0 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 15, 2022 | Germania Ratingen 1-2 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 12, 2021 | SSVg Velbert 5-1 Germania Ratingen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Germania Ratingen vs SSVg Velbert on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Germania Ratingen score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Germania Ratingen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and Germania Ratingen sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Germania Ratingen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen?
- The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for SSVg Velbert.
- Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen played?
- SSVg Velbert vs Germania Ratingen is played on December 11, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 11, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsMonheim
- Dec 11, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSW Essen
- Dec 11, 2026Holzheimer SGvsSonsbeck
- Dec 13, 2026SF BaumbergvsScherpenberg
- Dec 13, 2026BW DingdenvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Dec 13, 2026SchonnebeckvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Dec 13, 2026BüderichvsSolingen-Wald
- Dec 13, 2026SC St. TönisvsMeerbusch