SF Baumberg vs Scherpenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)BSA Grazer Strasse, Monheim
The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Scherpenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SF Baumberg vs Scherpenberg?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate SF Baumberg (1,753) and Scherpenberg (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Baumberg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Scherpenberg have 1, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sonsbeck(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Biemenhorst(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SW Essen(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Sterkrade-Nord(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Baumberg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Scherpenberg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SF Baumberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and Scherpenberg sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Scherpenberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | SF Baumberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SF Baumberg vs Scherpenberg?
- The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Scherpenberg.
- Where and when is SF Baumberg vs Scherpenberg played?
- SF Baumberg vs Scherpenberg is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at BSA Grazer Strasse, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 11, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsMonheim
- Dec 11, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSW Essen
- Dec 11, 2026SSVg VelbertvsGermania Ratingen
- Dec 11, 2026Holzheimer SGvsSonsbeck
- Dec 13, 2026BW DingdenvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Dec 13, 2026SchonnebeckvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Dec 13, 2026BüderichvsSolingen-Wald
- Dec 13, 2026SC St. TönisvsMeerbusch