Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaMatchday 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna DüsseldorfRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rot-Weiß Essen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,918) and Rot-Weiß Essen (2,014).

37%25%38%
Fortuna Düsseldorf winDrawRot-Weiß Essen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4-3-3
  1. 9E. Hottmann
  2. 23F. Gerezgiher
  3. 24F. Schleusener
  1. 8J. Hendrix
  2. 38E. Arden
  3. 6A. Müller
  1. 15T. Oberdorf
  2. 7E. Wekesser
  3. 25M. Zimmermann
  4. 44E .Egouli
  1. 22L. Lord

Rot-Weiß Essen

4-2-3-1
  1. 20M. Janssen
  1. 22J. Sietan
  2. 11Noah Pesch
  3. 18D. Abiama
  4. 14L. Brumme
  5. 16R. Reisig
  1. 23J. Ríos Alonso
  2. 15Ben Vincent Hüning
  3. 19F. Bouebari
  4. 37J. Hofmann
  1. 1J. Golz

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 07:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-33. Liga
Oct 30, 2026SV Meppen(home)0-03. Liga
Oct 24, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)1-13. Liga
Oct 17, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-33. Liga
Oct 14, 2026Preußen Münster(away)2-13. Liga
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-03. Liga
Nov 1, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)1-03. Liga
Oct 27, 2026RB Leipzig(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(home)1-03. Liga
Oct 17, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)0-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf wins, 1 draw, 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 23, 2020Rot-Weiß Essen 3-2 Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal
Aug 9, 2015Rot-Weiß Essen 0-0 Fortuna DüsseldorfDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Dec 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf1.11.5310/159/15
Rot-Weiß Essen1.60.886/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 13th in 3. Liga (16 points from 13 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832211327
13Fortuna Düsseldorf13445141716

A question about Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Rot-Weiß Essen