Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Rot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win38 %

Draw24 %

Rot-Weiß Essen win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 23, 2020	Rot-Weiß Essen 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf	DFB Pokal
Aug 9, 2015	Rot-Weiß Essen 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Dec 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.