Havelse vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havelse vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Havelse (1,825) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havelse sit 17th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havelse vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Havelse vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- Havelse vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsHansa Rostock
- Jan 16, 2027Preußen MünstervsWürzburger Kickers
- Jan 16, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Jan 16, 2027SV WehenvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Jan 16, 2027Fortuna KölnvsMSV Duisburg
- Jan 16, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsStuttgart II
- Jan 16, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsVerl
- Jan 16, 2027Alemannia AachenvsHoffenheim II