MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Alemannia Aachen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,032) and Alemannia Aachen (2,027).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alemannia Aachen have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alemannia Aachen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 3-1 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2012 | MSV Duisburg 2-0 Alemannia Aachen | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Alemannia Aachen 2-2 MSV Duisburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Alemannia Aachen sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Alemannia Aachen.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen played?
- MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Dec 19, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsFortuna Köln
- Dec 19, 2026Würzburger KickersvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Dec 19, 2026SV MeppenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Dec 19, 2026Hansa RostockvsPreußen Münster
- Dec 19, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Dec 19, 2026VerlvsHavelse
- Dec 19, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsSV Wehen