Match

MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgAlemannia Aachen

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Alemannia Aachen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate MSV Duisburg (2,032) and Alemannia Aachen (2,027).

MSV Duisburg win45 %
Draw24 %
Alemannia Aachen win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alemannia Aachen have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Alemannia Aachen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Fortuna Köln(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Verl(home)4-13. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Roda(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 10, 2026SV Breinig(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alemannia Aachen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Alemannia Aachen 3-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Nov 29, 2025MSV Duisburg 3-1 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
Apr 14, 2012MSV Duisburg 2-0 Alemannia Aachen2. Bundesliga
Nov 6, 2011Alemannia Aachen 2-2 MSV Duisburg2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15
Alemannia Aachen3.00.9311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Alemannia Aachen sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
4Alemannia Aachen2110524

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen?
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Alemannia Aachen.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen played?
MSV Duisburg vs Alemannia Aachen is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: MSV Duisburg and Alemannia Aachen

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