Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,039) and SV Meppen (2,109).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SV Meppen have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 0-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SV Meppen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2023 | SV Meppen 1-1 Fortuna Köln | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2019 | Fortuna Köln 1-1 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Dec 2, 2018 | SV Meppen 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 0-2 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 21, 2017 | SV Meppen 1-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Meppen vs Fortuna Köln on Jun 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SV Meppen | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and SV Meppen sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SV Meppen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen?
- The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Köln.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen played?
- Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Nov 21, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsWürzburger Kickers
- Nov 21, 2026MSV DuisburgvsHansa Rostock
- Nov 21, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsSV Wehen
- Nov 21, 2026Alemannia AachenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Nov 21, 2026VerlvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Nov 21, 2026HavelsevsFC Viktoria Köln
- Nov 21, 2026Hoffenheim IIvsPreußen Münster