Match

Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna KölnSV Meppen

The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,039) and SV Meppen (2,109).

Fortuna Köln win37 %
Draw24 %
SV Meppen win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SV Meppen have 13, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VVV Venlo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
SV Meppen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)0-33. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Schalke 04 II(home)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-2Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SV Meppen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2023SV Meppen 1-1 Fortuna KölnFriendlies Clubs
May 6, 2019Fortuna Köln 1-1 SV Meppen3. Liga
Dec 2, 2018SV Meppen 3-0 Fortuna Köln3. Liga
Mar 31, 2018Fortuna Köln 0-2 SV Meppen3. Liga
Oct 21, 2017SV Meppen 1-0 Fortuna Köln3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SV Meppen vs Fortuna Köln on Jun 28, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln1.71.148/159/15
SV Meppen3.11.168/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and SV Meppen sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SV Meppen2101233
16Fortuna Köln2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen?
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Köln.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen played?
Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortuna Köln and SV Meppen

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