Match

Fortuna Köln vs Havelse: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna KölnHavelse

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Havelse. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Havelse?

Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,824).

Fortuna Köln win66 %
Draw19 %
Havelse win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Havelse have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VVV Venlo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Havelse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stuttgart II(home)2-33. Liga
Jul 31, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln1.71.148/159/15
Havelse1.52.3210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Havelse sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Fortuna Köln2011121
17Havelse2002240

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Havelse?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Havelse.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Havelse played?
Fortuna Köln vs Havelse is played on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortuna Köln and Havelse

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