Match

Havelse vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, Garbsen

HavelseFortuna Köln

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Havelse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Havelse vs Fortuna Köln?

Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,827).

Havelse win25 %
Draw23 %
Fortuna Köln win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havelse have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Havelse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stuttgart II(home)2-33. Liga
Jul 31, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VVV Venlo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Havelse1.52.3210/1511/15
Fortuna Köln1.71.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Havelse sit 17th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Fortuna Köln2011121
17Havelse2002240

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Havelse vs Fortuna Köln?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Havelse.
Where and when is Havelse vs Fortuna Köln played?
Havelse vs Fortuna Köln is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wilhelm-Langrehr-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Havelse and Fortuna Köln

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