Match

FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken

FC SaarbrückenFortuna Köln

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln?

Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,912).

FC Saarbrücken win33 %
Draw24 %
Fortuna Köln win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Saarbrücken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)5-23. Liga
Jul 26, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)0-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Kickers Offenbach(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VVV Venlo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Köln win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 7, 2023FC Saarbrücken 2-1 Fortuna KölnFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln on Jan 7, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Saarbrücken1.51.359/155/15
Fortuna Köln1.71.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Saarbrücken2200626
16Fortuna Köln2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln played?
FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Saarbrücken and Fortuna Köln

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