FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | FC Saarbrücken 2-1 Fortuna Köln | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln on Jan 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Saarbrücken.
- Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln played?
- FC Saarbrücken vs Fortuna Köln is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027SV WehenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Mar 6, 2027Hansa RostockvsWürzburger Kickers
- Mar 6, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 6, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsPreußen Münster
- Mar 6, 2027VerlvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Mar 6, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Mar 6, 2027HavelsevsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Mar 6, 2027Hoffenheim IIvsMSV Duisburg