Fortuna Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,037) and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach (2,055).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 2-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| May 18, 2019 | Fortuna Köln 0-2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| Dec 14, 2018 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Mar 16, 2018 | Fortuna Köln 1-3 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| Sep 30, 2017 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1-3 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Fortuna Köln 2-0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach played?
- Fortuna Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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