SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hänsch-Arena, Meppen
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate SV Meppen (2,107) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Meppen have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 0-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Meppen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 MSV Duisburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | MSV Duisburg 3-0 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 4-1 SV Meppen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | SV Meppen 0-3 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Mar 14, 2022 | SV Meppen 1-2 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Oct 2, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 0-1 SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Meppen sit 12th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | SV Meppen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for MSV Duisburg.
- Where and when is SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg played?
- SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hänsch-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Jan 23, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Jan 23, 2027Würzburger KickersvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Jan 23, 2027Preußen MünstervsSV Wehen
- Jan 23, 2027Hansa RostockvsHoffenheim II
- Jan 23, 2027Fortuna KölnvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Jan 23, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsFC Saarbrücken
- Jan 23, 2027VerlvsAlemannia Aachen