Match

SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hänsch-Arena, Meppen

SV MeppenMSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate SV Meppen (2,107) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).

SV Meppen win53 %
Draw23 %
MSV Duisburg win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Meppen have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Meppen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)0-33. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Schalke 04 II(home)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-2Regionalliga - Nord
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Meppen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 MSV Duisburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026MSV Duisburg 3-0 SV Meppen3. Liga
Jan 18, 2025MSV Duisburg 4-1 SV MeppenFriendlies Clubs
Feb 25, 2023MSV Duisburg 0-0 SV Meppen3. Liga
Aug 21, 2022SV Meppen 0-3 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Mar 14, 2022SV Meppen 1-2 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Oct 2, 2021MSV Duisburg 0-1 SV Meppen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Meppen3.11.168/1513/15
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Meppen sit 12th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
12SV Meppen2101233

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for MSV Duisburg.
Where and when is SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg played?
SV Meppen vs MSV Duisburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hänsch-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SV Meppen and MSV Duisburg

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