Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rot-Weiß Essen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,005) and Rot-Weiß Essen (2,017).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Köln
4-3-3- 7N. Thier
- 30Romeo Aigbekaen
- 9E. Wirtz
- 38Bennit Bröger
- 11G. Strauch
- 6T. Geerkens
- 3M. Fischer
- 5Seymour Funger
- 2Kevin Krumme
- 31Neo Telle
- 1L. Winkler
Rot-Weiß Essen
4-2-3-1- 20M. Janssen
- 22J. Sietan
- 10M. Obuz
- 17S. Telalović
- 11Noah Pesch
- 14L. Brumme
- 19F. Bouebari
- 23J. Ríos Alonso
- 15Ben Vincent Hüning
- 2M. Kostka
- 1J. Golz
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-0 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Havelse(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln wins, 2 draws, 4 Rot-Weiß Essen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 5-0 Fortuna Köln | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2022 | Fortuna Köln 3-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Fortuna Köln 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln on Oct 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 19th in 3. Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Köln.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsPreußen Münster
- Mar 13, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsVerl
- Mar 13, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsWaldhof Mannheim
- Mar 13, 2027MSV DuisburgvsFC Saarbrücken
- Mar 13, 2027Würzburger KickersvsHavelse
- Mar 13, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Mar 13, 2027SV MeppenvsHansa Rostock
- Mar 13, 2027Alemannia AachenvsSV Wehen