Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?

Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna Köln

Rot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln (2,037) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).

Fortuna Köln win52 %

Draw23 %

Rot-Weiß Essen win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(home)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VVV Venlo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2025	Rot-Weiß Essen 5-0 Fortuna Köln	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 16, 2022	Fortuna Köln 3-3 Rot-Weiß Essen	Regionalliga - West
Aug 29, 2021	Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 Fortuna Köln	Regionalliga - West
Mar 7, 2021	Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Fortuna Köln	Regionalliga - West
Oct 10, 2020	Fortuna Köln 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen	Regionalliga - West
Oct 11, 2019	Rot-Weiß Essen 0-1 Fortuna Köln	Regionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln on Jul 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln	1.7	1.1	4	8/15	9/15
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
16	Fortuna Köln	2	0	1	1	1	2	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?: Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.