Stuttgart II vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Stuttgart II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stuttgart II vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,851).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stuttgart II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havelse(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Stuttgart II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | Fortuna Köln 1-3 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Stuttgart II 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Fortuna Köln 0-1 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Stuttgart II 3-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II on Mar 12, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Stuttgart II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stuttgart II sit 11th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stuttgart II vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Stuttgart II.
- Where and when is Stuttgart II vs Fortuna Köln played?
- Stuttgart II vs Fortuna Köln is played on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 16, 2027Preußen MünstervsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Mar 16, 2027SV WehenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Mar 16, 2027Hansa RostockvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 16, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsMSV Duisburg
- Mar 16, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Mar 16, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Mar 16, 2027VerlvsHoffenheim II
- Mar 16, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsWürzburger Kickers