Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

FC Ingolstadt 04

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).

Rot-Weiß Essen win47 %

Draw23 %

FC Ingolstadt 04 win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Nov 8, 2025	FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Feb 22, 2025	Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Sep 21, 2024	FC Ingolstadt 04 2-2 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Apr 28, 2024	Rot-Weiß Essen 4-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Nov 25, 2023	FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04?: The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.