Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken played?

MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV Duisburg

FC Saarbrücken

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,912).

MSV Duisburg win56 %

Draw23 %

FC Saarbrücken win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

FC Saarbrücken
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	5-2	3. Liga
Jul 26, 2026	VfR Aalen(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Augsburg(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 FC Saarbrücken win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	MSV Duisburg 4-2 FC Saarbrücken	3. Liga
Sep 30, 2025	FC Saarbrücken 0-0 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Mar 16, 2024	MSV Duisburg 2-0 FC Saarbrücken	3. Liga
Nov 29, 2023	FC Saarbrücken 0-0 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
May 21, 2023	MSV Duisburg 2-2 FC Saarbrücken	3. Liga
Jan 14, 2023	FC Saarbrücken 2-3 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15
FC Saarbrücken	1.5	1.3	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
2	FC Saarbrücken	2	2	0	0	6	2	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken played?: MSV Duisburg vs FC Saarbrücken is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.