Match

SV Meppen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hänsch-Arena, Meppen

SV MeppenRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Meppen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

SV Meppen starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (2,109 vs 1,976).

SV Meppen win60 %
Draw21 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Meppen have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Meppen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)0-33. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Schalke 04 II(home)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-2Regionalliga - Nord
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 SV Meppen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 6, 2023SV Meppen 2-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Nov 9, 2022Rot-Weiß Essen 0-0 SV Meppen3. Liga
Jan 8, 2022Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 SV MeppenFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: SV Meppen vs Rot-Weiß Essen on May 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Meppen3.11.168/1513/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Meppen sit 12th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SV Meppen2101233
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Meppen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is SV Meppen vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
SV Meppen vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hänsch-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SV Meppen and Rot-Weiß Essen

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