Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Würzburger FV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Fortuna Regensburg (1,770) and Würzburger FV (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Würzburger FV have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fortuna Regensburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Würzburger FV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Würzburger FV 2-0 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 5-1 Würzburger FV | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Würzburger FV 3-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 6-0 Würzburger FV | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 4, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-0 Würzburger FV | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Würzburger FV 1-4 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Würzburger FV vs Fortuna Regensburg on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Würzburger FV score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Würzburger FV | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Würzburger FV sit 13th (37 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
| 13 | Würzburger FV | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 62 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Würzburger FV.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.