Bayern Hof vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion Grüne Au, Hof
The Footlab model makes Bayern Hof the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayern Hof vs Ingolstadt II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Bayern Hof (1,758) and Ingolstadt II (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern Hof have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Großbardorf(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bayern Hof win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ingolstadt II 3-1 Bayern Hof | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Bayern Hof 3-4 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 10, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 1-2 Bayern Hof | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bayern Hof 1-3 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 3-3 Bayern Hof | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Bayern Hof 2-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs Bayern Hof on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayern Hof score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Hof | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayern Hof sit 10th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (43 points from 32 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
| 10 | Bayern Hof | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 56 | 51 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayern Hof vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Bayern Hof the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Bayern Hof vs Ingolstadt II played?
- Bayern Hof vs Ingolstadt II is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion Grüne Au, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026KornburgvsNeudrossenfeld
- Oct 16, 2026GroßbardorfvsDJK Bamberg
- Oct 17, 2026WeidenvsNordlingen
- Oct 17, 2026StadelnvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Oct 17, 2026Fortuna RegensburgvsWürzburger FV
- Oct 17, 2026ASV NeumarktvsEintracht Bamberg
- Oct 17, 2026GebenbachvsJahn Regensburg II
- Oct 18, 2026AmmerthalvsCham