Match

Ammerthal vs Cham: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Ammerthal, Ammerthal

AmmerthalCham

The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Ammerthal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ammerthal vs Cham?

Cham starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,656).

Ammerthal win17 %
Draw21 %
Cham win62 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammerthal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Cham have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ammerthal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gebenbach(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Stadeln(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Weiden(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Bayern Hof(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Cham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(away)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Gebenbach(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Stadeln(away)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ammerthal win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 16, 2024Cham 1-0 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 4, 2024Ammerthal 1-0 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
Mar 8, 2024Cham 2-0 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 25, 2023Ammerthal 1-1 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
Nov 6, 2022Ammerthal 0-0 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 16, 2022Cham 2-4 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Cham vs Ammerthal on Nov 16, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ammerthal1.12.3210/159/15
Cham2.10.966/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cham331887623562

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ammerthal vs Cham?
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Ammerthal.
Where and when is Ammerthal vs Cham played?
Ammerthal vs Cham is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Ammerthal, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ammerthal and Cham

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