Stadeln vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Stadeln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Viktoria Aschaffenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stadeln vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Stadeln (1,681) and Viktoria Aschaffenburg (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stadeln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Viktoria Aschaffenburg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Stadeln score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Viktoria Aschaffenburg score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stadeln | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Viktoria Aschaffenburg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Stadeln | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 65 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stadeln vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Stadeln the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.
- Where and when is Stadeln vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg played?
- Stadeln vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage FSV Stadeln, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.