Match

Weiden vs Nordlingen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz

WeidenNordlingen

The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Nordlingen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weiden vs Nordlingen?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Weiden (1,748) and Nordlingen (1,712).

Weiden win49 %
Draw23 %
Nordlingen win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nordlingen have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern Hof(away)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Kornburg(home)2-7Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Ammerthal(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026DJK Bamberg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Nordlingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Neudrossenfeld(away)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Ingolstadt II(home)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Großbardorf(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Würzburger FV(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 1, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)0-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord

How many goals should we expect?

Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordlingen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Weiden1.71.9310/1510/15
Nordlingen1.32.3110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Weiden3213118573950

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weiden vs Nordlingen?
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Nordlingen.
Where and when is Weiden vs Nordlingen played?
Weiden vs Nordlingen is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Weiden and Nordlingen

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