Fossombrone vs Pietralunga: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, Fossombrone
The Footlab AI model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Pietralunga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fossombrone wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fossombrone vs Pietralunga?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Fossombrone (1,593) and Pietralunga (1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fossombrone vs Pietralunga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Pietralunga
Not enough data to predict the Pietralunga lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fossombrone have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pietralunga have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Fossombrone score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pietralunga score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossombrone | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pietralunga | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fossombrone sit 10th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 7 matches) and Pietralunga sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Fossombrone vs Pietralunga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fossombrone vs Pietralunga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Pietralunga.
- Where and when is Fossombrone vs Pietralunga played?
- Fossombrone vs Pietralunga is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Fossombrone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.