Pietralunga vs Fossombrone: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pietralunga the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Fossombrone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pietralunga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pietralunga vs Fossombrone?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Pietralunga (1,647) and Fossombrone (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pietralunga vs Fossombrone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pietralunga
Not enough data to predict the Pietralunga lineup.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Pietralunga have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Fossombrone have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Pietralunga score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Fossombrone score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pietralunga | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
| Fossombrone | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pietralunga sit 16th in Serie D - Girone F (5 points from 7 matches) and Fossombrone sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Pietralunga vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pietralunga vs Fossombrone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pietralunga the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Fossombrone.
- Where and when is Pietralunga vs Fossombrone played?
- Pietralunga vs Fossombrone is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.