L'Aquila vs Notaresco: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Notaresco. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate L'Aquila (1,824) and Notaresco (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Aquila vs Notaresco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Notaresco have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 L'Aquila wins, 0 draws, 2 Notaresco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | L'Aquila 0-2 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Notaresco 1-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Notaresco 1-0 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 23, 2024 | L'Aquila 2-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 1, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-0 Notaresco | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 5, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-0 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Notaresco | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 1st in Serie D - Girone F (20 points from 8 matches) and Notaresco sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
A question about L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Notaresco.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Notaresco played?
- L'Aquila vs Notaresco is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 14, 2027Real GiulianovavsMontecchio Gallo
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- Mar 14, 2027Vigor SenigalliavsFoligno Calcio
- Mar 14, 2027Atletico AscolivsAncona
- Mar 14, 2027FossombronevsPietralunga
- Mar 14, 2027AngelanavsMaceratese
- Mar 14, 2027Lanciano FCvsTeramo