Maceratese vs Montecchio Gallo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata
The Footlab model makes Maceratese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Montecchio Gallo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maceratese vs Montecchio Gallo?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Montecchio Gallo have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Chieti(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 49 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Montecchio Gallo?
- The Footlab model makes Maceratese the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Montecchio Gallo.
- Where and when is Maceratese vs Montecchio Gallo played?
- Maceratese vs Montecchio Gallo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.