Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, Senigallia
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Vigor Senigallia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Vigor Senigallia (1,658) and Ancona (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Senigallia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ancona have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 4-6 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Vigor Senigallia win, 2 draws, 2 Ancona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 0-1 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Ancona 0-0 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Ancona 3-1 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Vigor Senigallia 1-0 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Vigor Senigallia 2-2 Ancona | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Senigallia score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Senigallia sit 5th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 7 matches) and Ancona sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Vigor Senigallia.
- Where and when is Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona played?
- Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.