Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for JKT Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Fountain Gate (1,483) and JKT Tanzania (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; JKT Tanzania have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 4-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fountain Gate win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 JKT Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | JKT Tanzania 2-2 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Fountain Gate 0-2 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 13, 2025 | JKT Tanzania 3-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Fountain Gate 0-1 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 13, 2024 | JKT Tanzania 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Fountain Gate 2-2 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: JKT Tanzania vs Fountain Gate on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; JKT Tanzania score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| JKT Tanzania | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 10th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and JKT Tanzania sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | JKT Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for JKT Tanzania.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania played?
- Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania is played on October 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.