Namungo vs Tabora United: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Majaliwa Stadium, Ruangwa
The Footlab model makes Namungo the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Tabora United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namungo vs Tabora United?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Namungo (1,538) and Tabora United (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namungo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Tabora United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | KMC(away) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Namungo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Tabora United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Namungo 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Tabora United 2-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Tabora United 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Namungo 1-2 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Namungo 3-2 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Tabora United 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Tabora United on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Namungo score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tabora United score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tabora United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namungo sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and Tabora United sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Tabora United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namungo vs Tabora United?
- The Footlab model makes Namungo the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Tabora United.
- Where and when is Namungo vs Tabora United played?
- Namungo vs Tabora United is played on October 8, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Majaliwa Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.