Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar: result 1-3 and analysis
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
Full time
What was the result of Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar?
Kagera Sugar won 1-3 on October 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′686355Kagera Sugar
- 43′H. HajiMbeya City
- 58′M. SaidKagera Sugar
- 73′M. SaidKagera Sugar
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mbeya City win at 51%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mbeya City
- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 20H. Haji
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 32O. Abdallah
- 8O. Buzungu
- 31Kutusha
- 33Mtabigva
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 26A. Buha
Kagera Sugar
- 13Said Hamisi Ndemla
- 24D. Milandu
- 47M. Said
- 1S. Kipao
- 10E. Mvuyekule
- 14Opiyo
- 18J. Masanja
- 29J. Evastus
- 37Y. Yassin
- 45Y. Zuberi
- 20D. Mhilu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kagera Sugar have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win, 3 draws, 2 Kagera Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Kagera Sugar 1-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Mbeya City 2-2 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Mbeya City 0-1 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 8, 2021 | Mbeya City 0-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Kagera Sugar 1-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 9th in Ligi kuu Bara (10 points from 8 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy