Coastal Union vs Azam: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Azam?
Azam starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Azam have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Coastal Union win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Azam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Azam 3-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Coastal Union 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Azam 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Azam 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Coastal Union 0-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Azam on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Azam | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (0 points from 2 matches) and Azam sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Azam | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Coastal Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Azam?
- The Footlab model makes Azam the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Azam played?
- Coastal Union vs Azam is played on October 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.