Simba vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Young Africans. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Young Africans?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Simba (1,922) and Young Africans (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Azam(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Simba win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Young Africans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Simba 2-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Young Africans 0-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Young Africans 2-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Simba 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Young Africans 2-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Simba 1-5 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Simba vs Young Africans on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Young Africans sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Young Africans.
- Where and when is Simba vs Young Africans played?
- Simba vs Young Africans is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.