France vs Croatia: result 4-2 and analysis
World CupFinalKick-off on July 15, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
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What was the result of France vs Croatia?
France won 4-2 on July 15, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. MandžukićFrance (o.g.)
- 28′I. PerišićCroatia
- 38′A. GriezmannFrance (pen.)
- 59′P. PogbaFrance
- 65′Kylian MbappéFrance
- 69′M. MandžukićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Croatia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2018 | Belgium(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 6, 2018 | Uruguay(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2018 | Argentina(home) | 4-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2018 | Denmark(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Peru(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2018 | England(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 7, 2018 | Russia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 1, 2018 | Denmark(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Croatia | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France sit 2nd in World Cup (3 points from 1 matches) and Croatia sit 4th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy