France vs Poland: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup D - 3Kick-off on June 25, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
Full time
What was the result of France vs Poland?
France and Poland drew 1-1 on June 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 56′Kylian MbappéFrance (pen.)
- 79′R. LewandowskiPoland (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Poland have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2024 | Netherlands(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Austria(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Canada(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Chile(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2024 | Austria(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Netherlands(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Ukraine(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Wales(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 France win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Poland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | France 3-1 Poland | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Poland | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France sit 2nd in Euro Championship (5 points from 3 matches) and Poland sit 4th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy