Romania vs Poland: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)TBC (Romania), TBC
The Footlab AI model makes Poland the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Romania. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poland wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Romania vs Poland?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Romania (1,509) and Poland (1,580).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Romania vs Poland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Romania
4-3-1-2- 20D. Man
- 9D. Bîrligea
- 18R. Marin
- 22V. Dragomir
- 10N. Stanciu
- 7D. Olaru
- 2A. Rațiu
- 11N. Bancu
- 4A. Coubiș
- 3M. Ilie
- 12O. Hindrich
Poland
4-2-3-1- 9M. Żukowski
- 10P. Zieliński
- 20S. Szymański
- 21N. Zalewski
- 16W. Nowak
- 11K. Świderski
- 5J. Bednarek
- 14J. Kiwior
- 2M. Cash
- 19P. Frankowski
- 1M. Bułka
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Romania have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Poland have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Sweden(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Poland(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Sweden(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Wales(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Romania(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Sweden(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Nigeria(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Romania wins, 0 draws, 3 Poland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Poland 6-0 Romania | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Poland 3-1 Romania | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 11, 2016 | Romania 0-3 Poland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Romania score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romania | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Poland | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Romania sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (0 points from 4 matches) and Poland sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Romania vs Poland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Romania vs Poland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poland the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Romania.
- Where and when is Romania vs Poland played?
- Romania vs Poland is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at TBC (Romania), in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.