Fraserburgh vs Aberdeen U21: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Aberdeen U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Aberdeen U21?
Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,408).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Aberdeen U21 have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Keith(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 9-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fraserburgh win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Aberdeen U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fraserburgh 3-1 Aberdeen U21 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Fraserburgh vs Aberdeen U21 on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aberdeen U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Aberdeen U21 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Aberdeen U21?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Aberdeen U21.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Aberdeen U21 played?
- Fraserburgh vs Aberdeen U21 is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Aug 25, 2026MontrosevsClyde
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