Montana vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Sportist Svoge?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Montana (1,627) and Sportist Svoge (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 2-2 Montana | Second League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sportist Svoge 0-3 Montana | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Montana 1-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Montana 2-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Sportist Svoge 1-1 Montana | Second League |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Montana 0-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Montana on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Montana vs Sportist Svoge played?
- Montana vs Sportist Svoge is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsNesebar
- Nov 28, 2026Ludogorets IIvsRilski Sportist
- Nov 28, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsVihren
- Nov 28, 2026Spartak PlevenvsYantra 2019
- Nov 28, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsDobrudzha
- Nov 28, 2026Hebar 1918vsBeroe
- Nov 28, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 28, 2026FratriavsMarek