Match

Montana vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

MontanaSportist Svoge

The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Sportist Svoge?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Montana (1,627) and Sportist Svoge (1,542).

Montana win54 %
Draw26 %
Sportist Svoge win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-3Second League
Aug 4, 2026Nesebar(home)3-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-2Second League
Sportist Svoge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Yantra 2019(away)0-1Second League
Aug 16, 2026Nesebar(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)1-0Second League
Aug 2, 2026Dobrudzha(away)0-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Montana(home)2-2Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Sportist Svoge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge 2-2 MontanaSecond League
Mar 16, 2025Sportist Svoge 0-3 MontanaSecond League
Sep 1, 2024Montana 1-0 Sportist SvogeSecond League
Mar 16, 2024Montana 2-0 Sportist SvogeSecond League
Sep 3, 2023Sportist Svoge 1-1 MontanaSecond League
Feb 24, 2023Montana 0-0 Sportist SvogeSecond League

Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Montana on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montana1.21.338/157/15
Sportist Svoge0.71.163/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Montana5212987
16Sportist Svoge5122345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Sportist Svoge?
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sportist Svoge.
Where and when is Montana vs Sportist Svoge played?
Montana vs Sportist Svoge is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Montana and Sportist Svoge

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