VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,969) and TSV Steinbach (1,965).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; TSV Steinbach have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfR Aalen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 TSV Steinbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach 1-1 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TSV Steinbach 2-3 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 2, 2023 | VfR Aalen 0-3 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 8, 2023 | VfR Aalen 0-0 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 30, 2022 | TSV Steinbach 4-0 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 5, 2022 | VfR Aalen 0-2 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: TSV Steinbach vs VfR Aalen on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Aalen | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| TSV Steinbach | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and TSV Steinbach sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfR Aalen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for TSV Steinbach.
- Where and when is VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach played?
- VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026SV SandhausenvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Dec 5, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Dec 5, 2026Eintracht TriervsVfR Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Dec 5, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsSGV Freiberg
- Dec 5, 2026Hessen KasselvsFreiburg II
- Dec 5, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Dec 5, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsEintracht Frankfurt II