Match

VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen

VfR AalenTSV Steinbach

The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,969) and TSV Steinbach (1,965).

VfR Aalen win42 %
Draw24 %
TSV Steinbach win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; TSV Steinbach have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Aalen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026Freiburg II(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
TSV Steinbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026VfR Aalen(home)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026SV Sandhausen(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(home)2-8Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfR Aalen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 TSV Steinbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026TSV Steinbach 1-1 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 9, 2024TSV Steinbach 2-3 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 2, 2023VfR Aalen 0-3 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 8, 2023VfR Aalen 0-0 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 30, 2022TSV Steinbach 4-0 VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 5, 2022VfR Aalen 0-2 TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: TSV Steinbach vs VfR Aalen on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfR Aalen2.21.068/159/15
TSV Steinbach2.51.949/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and TSV Steinbach sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9TSV Steinbach3030333
15VfR Aalen3021252

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach?
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for TSV Steinbach.
Where and when is VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach played?
VfR Aalen vs TSV Steinbach is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfR Aalen and TSV Steinbach

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